Retail giants warn of £7bn cost burden from new budget measures

Britain's largest retailers have warned that increased costs from the Labour government's recent budget could lead to widespread job losses and higher prices for consumers.

In a letter to chancellor Rachel Reeves signed by 79 retail leaders, including executives from Tesco, Boots, Marks & Spencer and Next, the industry has highlighted concerns about a £7 billion rise in annual costs following changes to employer contributions and wages.

The British Retail Consortium (BRC), which coordinated the letter, said the increased costs stem from multiple sources: a £2.3 billion expense from higher employer national insurance contributions, a £2.73 billion rise in wage costs, and approximately £2 billion related to new packaging responsibilities.

"For any retailer, large or small, it will not be possible to absorb such significant cost increases over such a short timescale," the letter states. "The effect will be to increase inflation, slow pay growth, cause shop closures and reduce jobs, especially at the entry level."

The retail sector, which employs three million people directly and supports 2.7 million more jobs through its supply chain, is particularly concerned about the increase in employer national insurance contributions from 13.8 per cent to 15 per cent, alongside a reduction in the earnings threshold from £9,100 to £5,000.

The industry leaders have requested a meeting with the Treasury to discuss potential solutions, including a phased introduction of the new national insurance threshold and a delay to the packaging levy implementation.

Prime Minister Keir Starmer has defended the budget measures, stating he would "defend decisions taken in the budget all day long."

The retail sector's concerns mirror similar warnings from the hospitality industry. Earlier this month, more than 200 leaders from restaurant, pub and hotel businesses, including the Premier Inn owner Whitbread and Mitchells & Butlers, wrote to the chancellor warning of potential closures and job losses due to the national insurance increases.

Seperately, the BRC's Scottish arm— the Scottish Retail Consortium (SRC)— has called on lawmakers to abandon a proposed surtax on grocery stores and "deliver competitive business rates". It claims the increase in employer’s national insurance contributions is set to cost retailers in Scotland £190 million each year.



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